From the Daily Caller: CNN senior data analyst Harry Enten said a Democrat’s stunning flip of a red Florida State House seat that includes Mar-a-Lago signals a broader trend suggesting November’s midterms could be a blue wave.
Democratic candidate Emily Gregory bested Trump-endorsed Republican Jon Maples in a major upset Tuesday night, winning a special election to become the president’s state representative. During an appearance on CNN’s “Erin Burnett OutFront” that same night, Enten said Gregory’s two-point victory was “emblematic” of a “massive shift” from fewer than two years ago, when the South Florida district’s most famous resident carried it by double digits in the 2024 presidential election
“In a district that [President] Donald Trump won by 11 points. That is a massive shift, right?” Enten asked host Erin Burnett. “That is a double-digit shift towards the Democrat.”
“And what I will say, what is so important, It is happening now in Donald Trump’s backyard, but it has been happening across the country. We have seen these massive shifts in these special elections,” the CNN data analyst continued. “I looked at all of them. So far to date, the state legislative, the federal special elections.”
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Enten reviewed a poll on Tuesday, and warned that Trump is losing support from men.
Trump won in 2024 because of men. They are abandoning him right now.
He won men by 13 pt in 2024, but his net approval is now -7 pt with them.
Men under 45: Trump won by 5 pt in 2024. Now he’s 19 pt underwater with them.
On cost living, he’s now 30 pt underwater with men! pic.twitter.com/UxvvS16VLf
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) March 24, 2026
ELECTION ALERT: Democrats flip two seats in stunning Florida upset
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