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According to a New York Times/Siena College poll, Donald Trump is gaining support among Black voters, while Vice President Harris is losing ground with the group, which backed Democrats at 90% four years ago.
The survey found 78% of likely Black voters would support Harris, slightly higher than the 74% who said they’d back Biden against Trump. In 2020, Biden captured 90% of the Black vote before dropping out of the 2024 race in July.
The drop in support could harm Harris’ chances in crucial battleground states, according to a New Yor Post report. About 15% of likely Black voters plan to vote for Trump, a six-point increase from 2020, while 7% remain undecided or declined to respond.
Harris’ support has dropped, partly due to frustration with unmet Democratic promises. The poll shows 40% of Black voters under 30 believe the GOP is more likely to deliver on campaign commitments. Like other groups, Black voters are dissatisfied with the economy under the current administration. Nearly three-quarters of Black voters rated the economy as fair or poor, with 73% cutting back on groceries due to rising prices and 56% doing so frequently.
The poll, conducted Sept. 29 to Oct. 6 with 589 Black respondents, had a 5.6% margin of error.
Separate polls in Pennsylvania and Arizona found no clear advantage for Trump or Harris. Harris holds a four-point lead in Pennsylvania, while Trump leads by six points in Arizona, numbers unchanged from previous polling.
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