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Republicans have historically faced challenges in winning the popular vote in U.S. presidential elections, often focusing on the Electoral College strategy instead. Since 1992,
Republican candidates have won the popular vote only once, in 2004, when George W. Bush was re-elected. This partly reflects demographic shifts, mainly within urban area, where a significant number of Democratic voters have grown in population.
The Republican voter base is generally more concentrated in rural areas and smaller states, where the Electoral College provides a structural advantage. As a result, Republicans have won the presidency multiple times without securing the popular vote, as seen in the elections of 2000 and 2016.
However, this time, there is possible speculation that Donald Trump could win the popular vote when matched up against Kamala Harris. Some believe the margin will be slim, but based on the surge in popularity of the Trump campaign in the election’s final days, the possibility is stronger than ever.
We want to ask you, the reader: will Trump win the popular vote? Answer in our poll below and share your thoughts on the popular vote versus the electoral college.
If you cannot see the poll, click here.
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