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From Breitbart: More Americans identify as Republicans than Democrats at this point in the election season for the first time in decades, a Gallup poll reveals.
Not only did 48 percent of respondents say they either identify as Republicans or are leaning Republican for the upcoming election — compared to just 45 percent who identified as Democrats — Gallup analysts also said that “nearly all” measures that have shown some relationship to past presidential election outcomes are favoring the GOP as well.
“By 46 percent to 41 percent, Americans say the Republican Party is better able than the Democratic Party to address what they think is the most important problem facing the country,” Gallup’s Jeffrey M. Jones wrote. “The top issues Americans currently name as the most important are ones that tend to favor the GOP, including the economy (24 percent), immigration (22 percent), the government (17 percent) and inflation (15 percent).”
Even when only 43 percent of respondents identified with Republicans compared to the Democrats’ 46 percent in 2016, former President Donald Trump was still successful in his bid for office.
Breitbart explains that it’s been 20 years since the same number of Americans identified as Republican and Democrat in the third quarter of an election year (July-Sept.). That happened in 2004, the year that President George W. Bush was re-elected for a second term.
For the first time in decades, more Americans now identify as Republican (48%) than Democratic (45%).
👉🏻 https://t.co/7PcABiyUFn pic.twitter.com/MXsKg0JKOo
— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) September 27, 2024
Jeffrey Tucker, president of Brownstone Institute, provided a VERY interesting perspective. Read below:
This strikes me as far more meaningful (and verifiable) than any poll. The conditions this year – widespread demonization of one candidate and implausible celebration of the other, far beyond even 2016 – create conditions that make the polls useless.
Truly useless. Trust is gone and few people are willing to tell even neighbors, much less pollsters, what they really think about anything, especially if their opinions contradict regime narratives. That the polls are more-or-less tied within a margin of error is rather shocking given how reluctant people are to admit to Trump support.
As for betting odds, they might be closer to accurate but they are also heavily influenced by conventional wisdom, indeed a mirror of it, and that is weighted by media malarky.
It’s also revealing that Kamala has begged for another debate. She is terrible in that setting – her supposed victory last time did not move the needle much – but not as catastrophic as she would be in a town hall or actual vs scripted interview. Seeking another debate seems like a sign of genuine weakness and worry.
Kamala’s team seems to be banking on a strategy of pure bullshittery between now and Election Day, refusing all unscripted press conferences or interviews, with an awareness that it will certainly be a disaster. They might as well be running a potato salad with a recorded message at this point.
How could any half intelligent person not be insulted by this approach? Indeed, I suspect that very few people are actually FOR Kamala but only AGAINST Trump. Is that really going to work? It’s all that Team Blue has to offer.
Meanwhile, the addition of RFKJr to the Red Team has brought forth a range of new endorsements and a vast amount of excitement that has led ex-CDC head Robert Redfield to endorse him, and has inspired a mass movement of health freedom people who have far more influence than media knows.
Meanwhile, we have the astounding hidden-camera interviews with Dr. Jay Varma that reveal the fullness of the Pharma/Covid scam over the last four years that has wrecked so much, including economic life and civil liberties, and led to a plummeting in trust in essentially everything. Biden/Harris own this more than Trump, who has carefully distanced himself from the whole racket.
In economic terms, every indicator points to vast popular fury and even the Fed’s rate cut underscores the point: this economy is very weak and getting ever worse. It feels like the Greater Depression. It’s far worse than the financial press knows how to report.
How in the world, absent a grand cheating plot, can the incumbent candidate win under these conditions? It simply does not seem possible. Note too the number of influencers who seek public approval who have declined to endorse her. Taylor Swift doesn’t count; indeed, her endorsement seems to have hurt the singer with fans.
Finally, I do think Zuckerberg’s pretend warming to Trump to be an important sign. He more than anyone knows the pulse. He might be seeing 10 to 1 support for Team Red for all we know.
In the last two years, all over the world, the triumph of populist insurgencies over state managers – much to the shock of all elite wisdom and instruction – has been the most significant trend of our time. It could hit the US like a tsunami this time.
Last night, I asked a person who would know what the prospect of a Trump landslide were. His answer: it very well could happen unless the machine is so rigged at this point that the elections have become pure theater.
I spent too much time this morning looking for this chart and finally found it, so I thought I would share it here. https://t.co/wb2C78C7UV.
This strikes me as far more meaningful (and verifiable) than any poll. The conditions this year – widespread demonization of one… pic.twitter.com/s6q4srX42P
— Jeffrey A Tucker (@jeffreyatucker) September 25, 2024
More U.S. adults identify as Republican or say they lean toward the Republican Party (48%) than identify as or lean Democratic (45%).
Full story: https://t.co/g5sIDx6gl7 pic.twitter.com/UuSq1p76Wj
— Gallup (@Gallup) September 24, 2024
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