If Vice President Kamala Harris is eyeing another presidential run in 2028, the betting markets offer little encouragement, with odds that have long been notably poor.
Betting markets paint a bleak picture for Harris’s 2028 prospects, with Kalshi and Polymarket each giving her just a 2% chance of winning. By contrast, President Trump—who is constitutionally barred from a third term—still draws higher odds at 4% on Kalshi and 3% on Polymarket, underscoring how poorly Harris has fared on betting boards for months.
Back in August, Leading Report shared a post on X describing the terrible odds for Harris:
BREAKING: President Trump is now more likely than Kamala Harris to win the 2028 presidential election, despite being constitutionally ineligible, per Polymarket. pic.twitter.com/O68j09lvxO
— Leading Report (@LeadingReport) August 28, 2025
“She’s just *THAT* bad of a candidate,” a social media user wrote about Harris. “The democrats need to pull their heads from their (expletives).”
“Everyone hates her,” another replied.
Vice President JD Vance is the current favorite to win the 2028 election, leading both Polymarket at 30% and Kalshi at 29%. California Governor Gavin Newsom ranks second on both platforms, with 19% on Kalshi and 18% on Polymarket.
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez places third on Polymarket at 8% and fourth on Kalshi at 7%, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio is third on Kalshi at 9% and fourth on Polymarket at 7%. Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro also appears in the mix, with 4% odds on Kalshi and 3% on Polymarket.
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