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From Fox News:
As the Iranian regime reels from sustained Israeli strikes on military and nuclear infrastructure, debate is intensifying over what could come next.
Experts say the end of the Islamic Republic is no longer unthinkable — but warn that what replaces it could either lift the country toward a freer future or plunge it into instability.
Reza Pahlavi, the exiled crown prince of Iran and a prominent opposition figure, posted yesterday, “Sources inside Iran say that the regime’s command and control structures are collapsing at a rapid pace. Meanwhile, the international community is beginning to realize that the Islamic Republic has no future. Our discussions about a post-Islamic Republic Iran have begun.”
Behnam Taleblu, senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, said life in Iran could get worse rather than better.
“The first thing is revolution is too broad a word,” Taleblu said. “The better words are evolution and devolution, meaning if you get something better or something worse. Because this is the Middle East, and fundamentally, things can get worse, not better, when you introduce an exogenous shock.”
One expert, Beni Sabti, an Iran expert at Israel’s Institute for National Security Studies, said there are three possible scenarios for regime change in Iran: internal collapse, popular uprising, or return of exiled leaders.
The internal factors at play are disillusionment among the Iranian people, potential rebellion within the Revolutionary Guards, and the possibility of the regular army aligning with disillusioned groups. There is widespread hatred for the regime among the Iranian population, fueled by political, economic, social, and environmental issues.
Sabti Says there is another scenario, and it is the worst-case possible. That scenario is the regime surviving. That has the potential for increased repression and radicalization as the regime will likely become more militaristic and potentially more extreme.
Taleblu agreed, saying, “If the Islamic Republic survives, it will survive in a more radical fashion—more military, less clergy.”
Taleblu said Iranian society has already undergone significant changes in the past decade.
“Large swaths of the Iranian population—80% is probably a minimum number—hate this regime,” he said. “The protests since 2017, especially ‘Women, Life, Freedom,’ were triggered not just by politics, but by economic, social, even environmental issues.”
“There’s debate: does it become like Turkey or Pakistan, or does it become even more messianic?” Taleblu added. “The older IRGC are corrupt; the younger ones are messianic.”
Early on, my primary fear from a US persecptive was precipitous regime collapse and ensuing chaos (with or without American intervention).
Various indicators now tell me Iran is reconsolidating after being caught off-guard.
Meaning: US intervention would be a BIG WAR, period. pic.twitter.com/rsVNylBd7l
— Sohrab Ahmari (@SohrabAhmari) June 21, 2025
Reza Pahlavi, the exiled son of the last Shah of Iran, in a message to the Iranian people:
Sources inside Iran say that the regime’s command and control structures are collapsing at a rapid pace. Meanwhile, the international community is beginning to realize that the Islamic… pic.twitter.com/aKqjEKH5Mz— ME24 – Middle East 24 (@MiddleEast_24) June 20, 2025
The information listed is from Fox News.
