REPORT: Democrats brace for a possible crack in the blue wall and signs of swing state slipping

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From NBC News: The “blue wall” states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania have paved the path to the White House for the last two Democratic presidents.

But with just 14 days until the Nov. 5 election, there are concerns within Kamala Harris’ campaign about whether the vice president can claim all three states.

Recent discussions have centered on the possibility of an anomaly happening this year with just part of the blue wall breaking its way. The conversations have focused on whether Michigan or Wisconsin “fall” to former President Donald Trump while the two other states go blue, according to three sources with knowledge of the campaign’s strategy.

Losing Wisconsin or Michigan would mean that even if Harris secures Pennsylvania — where both Harris and Trump have spent the most time and resources — she would not reach the necessary 270 electoral votes to win the White House without winning another battleground state or possibly two.


And while Democrats are worried about potentially losing Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, they’re most concerned about North Carolina, according to the report.

NBC quotes one Harris campaign official as lamenting, “Of all of the seven [battleground states], that one seems to be a little bit slipping away.”

A new poll released Tuesday reflects the following numbers:

Chance of winning
🟥 Trump: 51%
🟦 Harris: 49%

Electoral Votes
🟥 Trump: 271 🏆
🟦 Harris: 267
——
Swing States (win probability)

Arizona – 🔴 Trump 63-37%
Georgia – 🔴 Trump 61-39%
North Carolina – 🔴 Trump 58-42%
Pennsylvania – 🔴 Trump 52-48%
Nevada – 🔵 Harris 51-49%
Michigan – 🔵 Harris 53-47%
Wisconsin – 🔵 Harris 54-46%
——
@Polymarket
U.S. House Odds
🟥 Republicans: 52%
🟦 Democrats: 48%

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